Oddschecker tips -
And the Steelers are an even better defense, fifth in DVOA. So I'm holding my nose and going UNDER Fulghum: I'm not afraid of UNDER In fact, I made that my best bet on Monday's episode of ESPN Bet Live we're back on air Friday.
The Patriots' offense has withered away into nothingness, and right when optimism seemed legit for the Steelers, Pickett gets injured and we're back reliving the Trubisky experience. Marks: I'm also on the UNDER. The prime-time under trend is the real deal, and I'm going to continue to ride it, especially with two anemic offenses taking the field.
Each offense has only 16 offensive touchdowns. The Steelers are sporting a backup quarterback and both teams are committed to running the ball, hence eating up time of possession.
Moody: Stevenson is the bigger loss. From Weeks 1 through 12, he averaged In the past three games, the Patriots have averaged Considering New England's quarterback woes and because its offensive line ranks fifth in run block win rate, it makes sense.
Although Elliott will do his best to fill the void left by Stevenson, let's not fool ourselves; he's no longer the explosive playmaker he once was with the Dallas Cowboys. Fulghum: I think Stevenson is the bigger loss.
He's really the only legitimately talented offensive player the Patriots can deploy. Trubisky is likely a downgrade from Pickett, but he'll have the benefit of playing at home with a superior defense. If this game was in Foxborough I might think differently, but in Pittsburgh the bigger loss is on New England's side.
Schatz: Quarterback is the most important position on the field, period. Running backs are mostly replaceable. Pickett had roughly the same QBR as Trubisky last season, but there's a reason the Steelers were starting him ahead of Trubisky. I can't imagine the decline from Stevenson to Elliott is any bigger than Pickett to Trubisky, so since quarterback is more important, Pickett is the bigger loss.
Walder: I agree with Aaron's premise, but that's why my answer is Stevenson. At this point Pickett's season has gone poorly enough -- he ranks 26th out of 29 qualifying quarterbacks -- that I might slightly prefer Pittsburgh's chances with Trubisky as opposed to Pickett.
So while QB matters much more, this loss could be a positive for Pittsburgh. It's at least worth a look because, like Aaron also noted, Trubisky very slightly outperformed Pickett in QBR last season.
Moody: Allen Robinson II OVER 1. Robinson has exceeded this line in two of his past three games. At plus odds, this is one prop I'm drawn to.
Robinson and Trubisky played together with the Bears, so they already developed a good rapport. Robinson has caught This season, New England's defense has allowed the ninth most receptions to wide receivers.
Schatz: I've got an even better stat. The Patriots rank dead last in DVOA to "other receivers," as in WR3 or deeper.
They allow 6. So I'll second Eric's pick of Robinson over 1. Marks: Malik Cunningham anytime TD. It hasn't hit the board yet. But backup QB Cunningham has been taking a few red zone snaps at practice this week. If active, the odds might be too tempting to pass up.
Keep an eye out! Walder: Mitch Trubisky under 0. He's had a higher-than-average 3. The Patriots' offense is so dreadful that the Steelers should be able to employ a conservative game-plan once they get ahead, and that limits interception opportunities.
Moody: Steelers UNDER Pittsburgh has averaged only On a short week, the Steelers will turn to Trubisky against a Patriots defense that has allowed only 8. I don't see Pittsburgh scoring a lot here.
Schatz: The Steelers rank 27th in offensive DVOA in the first half of games and a shocking fifth in the second half of games. Their defense goes from 13th in the first half to fourth in the second half.
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Week 14 fips off as pddschecker New casino games online Steelers host tipx New England Patriots atlantis online casino a matchup of two teams with issues at quarterback. Betting analysts New casino games online Moody, Seth Walder, Anita Marks, Tyler Lddschecker and Aaron Oddshcecker new casino games online here to provide their thoughts. Oddachecker This oddschecker tips be the ugliest oddscchecker Night Football" game this season. The Patriots' offense is the worst in the league, ranking 28th in total yards and 32nd in points scored per game. Against a Steelers defense that has allowed the sixth-fewest points per game, New England will struggle to score points. Although Pittsburgh's offense hasn't been a juggernaut, Trubisky is one of the league's best backup quarterbacks and has started 55 games in his career. As the Steelers look to secure a spot in the AFC playoff picture, Mike Tomlin's team should relish the opportunity to capitalize and cover against an inferior opponent.Oddschecker tips -
So while QB matters much more, this loss could be a positive for Pittsburgh. It's at least worth a look because, like Aaron also noted, Trubisky very slightly outperformed Pickett in QBR last season.
Moody: Allen Robinson II OVER 1. Robinson has exceeded this line in two of his past three games. At plus odds, this is one prop I'm drawn to.
Robinson and Trubisky played together with the Bears, so they already developed a good rapport. Robinson has caught This season, New England's defense has allowed the ninth most receptions to wide receivers.
Schatz: I've got an even better stat. The Patriots rank dead last in DVOA to "other receivers," as in WR3 or deeper. They allow 6.
So I'll second Eric's pick of Robinson over 1. Marks: Malik Cunningham anytime TD. It hasn't hit the board yet. But backup QB Cunningham has been taking a few red zone snaps at practice this week. If active, the odds might be too tempting to pass up. Keep an eye out!
Walder: Mitch Trubisky under 0. He's had a higher-than-average 3. The Patriots' offense is so dreadful that the Steelers should be able to employ a conservative game-plan once they get ahead, and that limits interception opportunities. Moody: Steelers UNDER Pittsburgh has averaged only On a short week, the Steelers will turn to Trubisky against a Patriots defense that has allowed only 8.
I don't see Pittsburgh scoring a lot here. Schatz: The Steelers rank 27th in offensive DVOA in the first half of games and a shocking fifth in the second half of games. Their defense goes from 13th in the first half to fourth in the second half. Skip to main content Skip to navigation.
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